Experimentation.
Causal Inference.
Business Impact.

I lead teams that design experiments, measure what matters, and build evidence-based systems that drive product growth.

Ubaldo Hervas
+2,000experimentsdesigned and launched
€30M+revenueunder experimentation
20+team membersexperimentation department
Current Role2022 — Present

Head of CRO & Experimentation

LIN3S Consultora Digital

I design experimentation programs and measurement systems for banking, insurance, energy, food & beverage, fashion and luxury, and sports & entertainment clients. My work sits at the intersection of statistics, product thinking, and team leadership: helping organizations build the right experiments, measure what matters, and turn results into business decisions. Today I lead a 20+ person cross-functional team across data, product, CRO, UX, and web/app development.

I believe experimentation and data is a means, not an end. It's a tool that belongs to the entire organization, not just the data team.

Focus Areas

Team LeadershipCROOnline ExperimentationCausal InferenceStatisticsMachine LearningAI AgentsDecision Systems

Industries

BankingInsuranceEnergyTechnologyAutomotiveTourismFood & BeverageFashion & LuxurySports & EntertainmentGamingFMCG

Location

Barcelona, Spain (Remote)

Current Focus

Right now I'm focused on what comes after traditional A/B testing: frequentist/Bayesian experimentation, causal inference, and AI agents that automate decisions at scale.

The full pipeline: from business to data and business again.

Open-source tools

Production-ready calculators and analysis notebooks for experimentation and causal inference.

Application Tools

Control
Variant
2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%
Tool

Bayesian A/B Test Calculator

Calculate the probability of one variant beating another using Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo simulation. Choose your model depending on your metric type.

Bernoulli-BetaPoisson-Gamma
P(B beats A)
0.0%
Expected Uplift
0.0%
MDE (pp)
2pp threshold
W1W4W7W10
Latest Tool

MDE Calculator

In online experimentation, you don't choose your traffic. Know the smallest effect your test can detect given your site's traffic, so you can set honest expectations before running a single experiment.

z-testTwo-tailedOne-tailed
MDE Week 1
0.00 pp
MDE Week 10
0.00 pp

Code & Notebooks

Books

Two published books with Anaya about Online Controlled Experiments and Applied Data Science with Python.

Recent talks

Conference sessions on experimentation, CRO, and data-driven decision making.

Latest writing

On experimentation methodology, causal inference, and building decision systems.

Let's talk

Thinking about experimentation, causal inference, or AI-driven decision systems? Drop me a line or find me on LinkedIn.